Usually, the idea behind this theory is that in Games 2-5, the team coming off a loss will bounce back as they are one game closer to elimination and motivated to stay alive. I’ve seen several narratives reference the Lakers being in a bounce-back “zig zag” spot, similar to the Warriors in Game 2. If he can come close to the dominating performance he posted Game 1, then the Lakers have a great chance of winning Game 3. The big question with the Lakers is which version of Anthony Davis will show up? He looked unstoppable in Game 1, but was ineffective in Game 2. This indicates a play on the Warriors in Game 3. The blowout win gives the winning team momentum and confidence that carries over, even on the road.
#2 playr games series
Playoff road teams coming off a victory of 20-points or more in a series matchup are 52-29-1 ATS (64.2%) since the 2011-2012 season, per the SDQL at Killer Sports. Kevon Looney moved to the bench with an illness, which allowed the Warriors to space the floor with JaMychal Green in the starting line-up. Stephen Curry primarily played decoy in Game 2, while Klay Thompson did most of the damage with eight 3-pointers. They went 42-of-95 from 3-point land in the first two games. The Warriors have been bombing away from behind the arc. However, they’ve been more successful on the road in the playoffs as they won their last two road games against Sacramento, including Game 7.
Their Net Rating on the road ranked 23rd in the regular season, per NBA Advanced Stats. Can they repeat their success on the road? The Warriors have been a completely different team away from the Chase Center and are 13-32 straight up and 14-31 against the spread this season on the road. It was a textbook “zig zag” spot, especially for the Warriors, an excellent home team with championship pedigree. The Warriors predictably bounced back in a big way in Game 2.
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